Club Nacional vs Cerro: result 4-3 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 20, 2015 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Gran Parque Central, Montevideo
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What was the result of Club Nacional vs Cerro?
Club Nacional won 4-3 on September 20, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 2′Nicolás Correa RissoCerro
- 27′I. AlonsoClub Nacional (pen.)
- 47′I. AlonsoClub Nacional
- 60′L. UrrutiCerro
- 69′S. FernándezClub Nacional
- 74′A. BarbaroClub Nacional
- 83′R. PortaCerro (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Club Nacional have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Cerro have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2015 | Juventud(away) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Sep 6, 2015 | Plaza Colonia(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 30, 2015 | Wanderers(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 23, 2015 | CA River Plate(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 15, 2015 | Villa Teresa(home) | 4-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2015 | Villa Teresa(home) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 5, 2015 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 29, 2015 | Rentistas(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 23, 2015 | Danubio(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2015 | Penarol(home) | 0-3 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Club Nacional win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Cerro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2015 | Cerro 1-0 Club Nacional | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 16, 2014 | Club Nacional 1-0 Cerro | Primera División |
| May 4, 2014 | Cerro 1-3 Club Nacional | Primera División - Clausura |
| Dec 1, 2013 | Club Nacional 1-0 Cerro | Primera División |
| Mar 24, 2013 | Club Nacional 2-2 Cerro | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 29, 2012 | Cerro 1-0 Club Nacional | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Cerro vs Club Nacional on May 24, 2015
How many goals should we expect?
Club Nacional score 2.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Cerro score 1.3 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Nacional | 2.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Cerro | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Club Nacional sit 7th in Primera División (22 points from 15 matches) and Cerro sit 16th (10 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Club Nacional | 61 | 35 | 12 | 14 | 111 | 66 | 114 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Cerro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 21 | 22 |
| 8 | Club Nacional | 24 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 35 | 33 | 35 |
| 13 | Cerro | 62 | 19 | 15 | 28 | 50 | 81 | 71 |
| 14 | Cerro | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 39 | 25 |
| 15 | Club Nacional | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy