Club Nacional vs Cerro: result 1-0 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 1, 2013 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Gran Parque Central, Montevideo
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What was the result of Club Nacional vs Cerro?
Club Nacional won 1-0 on December 1, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 78′I. AlonsoClub Nacional
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Club Nacional have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Cerro have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2013 | Penarol(home) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Nov 16, 2013 | Cerro Largo(away) | 4-1 | Primera División |
| Nov 7, 2013 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 3-5 | Primera División |
| Nov 2, 2013 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 26, 2013 | Juventud(away) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2013 | Juventud(away) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Nov 17, 2013 | Miramar(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Nov 10, 2013 | El Tanque Sisley(away) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Nov 3, 2013 | Cerro Largo(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 27, 2013 | Penarol(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Club Nacional win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Cerro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2013 | Club Nacional 2-2 Cerro | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 29, 2012 | Cerro 1-0 Club Nacional | Primera División |
| Mar 4, 2012 | Club Nacional 3-0 Cerro | Primera División - Clausura |
Last archived meeting: Club Nacional vs Cerro on Mar 24, 2013
How many goals should we expect?
Club Nacional score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cerro score 1.5 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Nacional | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Cerro | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Club Nacional sit 7th in Primera División (22 points from 15 matches) and Cerro sit 16th (10 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Club Nacional | 61 | 35 | 12 | 14 | 111 | 66 | 114 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Cerro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 21 | 22 |
| 8 | Club Nacional | 24 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 35 | 33 | 35 |
| 13 | Cerro | 62 | 19 | 15 | 28 | 50 | 81 | 71 |
| 14 | Cerro | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 39 | 25 |
| 15 | Club Nacional | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy