Club Nacional vs Penarol: result 1-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónIntermediate Round - FinalKick-off on August 4, 2024 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Centenario, Montevideo
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What was the result of Club Nacional vs Penarol?
Club Nacional and Penarol drew 1-1 on August 4, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 33′L. FernándezPenarol
- 79′G. PetitClub Nacional
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Club Nacional have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Penarol have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2024 | Boston River(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Miramar(home) | 4-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 13, 2024 | Danubio(away) | 6-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 7, 2024 | Rampla Juniors(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Jun 23, 2024 | Cerro Largo(away) | 4-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2024 | Defensor Sporting(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 21, 2024 | Fenix(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 14, 2024 | CA River Plate(away) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 9, 2024 | San Lorenzo(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 6, 2024 | Deportivo Maldonado(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Club Nacional win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Penarol win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2024 | Penarol 0-0 Club Nacional | Primera División |
| Jan 24, 2024 | Penarol 0-2 Club Nacional | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 18, 2024 | Club Nacional 1-1 Penarol | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Club Nacional 2-2 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Penarol 2-0 Club Nacional | Primera División |
| Jan 23, 2023 | Club Nacional 2-2 Penarol | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Penarol vs Club Nacional on Mar 29, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Club Nacional score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Penarol score 1.5 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Nacional | 2.2 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Penarol | 1.5 | 0.6 | 8 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Club Nacional sit 7th in Primera División (22 points from 15 matches) and Penarol sit 4th (27 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 61 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 103 | 54 | 125 |
| 1 | Penarol | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 20 | 47 |
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 61 | 35 | 12 | 14 | 111 | 66 | 114 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 27 |
| 7 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 21 | 22 |
| 8 | Club Nacional | 24 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 35 | 33 | 35 |
| 15 | Club Nacional | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy