Club Nacional vs Penarol: result 1-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 2Kick-off on February 9, 2025 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Gran Parque Central, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Club Nacional vs Penarol?
Club Nacional and Penarol drew 1-1 on February 9, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 50′M. SilveraPenarol
- 61′J. RecobaClub Nacional
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Club Nacional have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Penarol have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | Atletico Torque(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Penarol(home) | 2-1 | Super Copa |
| Dec 6, 2024 | Defensor Sporting(home) | 2-2 | Copa Uruguay |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Boston River(home) | 3-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 28, 2024 | Danubio(away) | 0-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | Progreso(away) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Club Nacional(away) | 1-2 | Super Copa |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Fenix(home) | 3-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 27, 2024 | Progreso(away) | 5-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Defensor Sporting(home) | 2-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Club Nacional win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Penarol win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2025 | Club Nacional 2-1 Penarol | Super Copa |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Club Nacional 2-1 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 4, 2024 | Club Nacional 1-1 Penarol | Primera División |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Penarol 0-0 Club Nacional | Primera División |
| Jan 24, 2024 | Penarol 0-2 Club Nacional | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 18, 2024 | Club Nacional 1-1 Penarol | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Club Nacional vs Penarol on Jan 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Club Nacional score 2.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Penarol score 1.9 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Nacional | 2.7 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Penarol | 1.9 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Club Nacional sit 7th in Primera División (22 points from 15 matches) and Penarol sit 4th (27 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 61 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 103 | 54 | 125 |
| 1 | Penarol | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 20 | 47 |
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 61 | 35 | 12 | 14 | 111 | 66 | 114 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 27 |
| 7 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 21 | 22 |
| 8 | Club Nacional | 24 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 35 | 33 | 35 |
| 15 | Club Nacional | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy