Club Nacional vs Penarol: result 2-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 9, 2014 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Centenario, Montevideo
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What was the result of Club Nacional vs Penarol?
Club Nacional won 2-1 on November 9, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 59′Antonio Pacheco D'AgostiPenarol (pen.)
- 90′I. AlonsoClub Nacional
- 90′Á. RecobaClub Nacional
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Club Nacional have 13 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Penarol have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2014 | Fenix(away) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 19, 2014 | Rentistas(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 12, 2014 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 5, 2014 | Rampla Juniors(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 27, 2014 | Wanderers(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2014 | Rampla Juniors(home) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Oct 18, 2014 | Wanderers(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 10, 2014 | Atenas(home) | 4-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 4, 2014 | Danubio(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 28, 2014 | CA River Plate(home) | 3-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Club Nacional win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Penarol win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2014 | Penarol 5-0 Club Nacional | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 24, 2013 | Club Nacional 2-3 Penarol | Primera División |
| May 5, 2013 | Club Nacional 0-3 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 11, 2012 | Penarol 0-0 Club Nacional | Primera División |
| May 20, 2012 | Penarol 2-3 Club Nacional | Primera División - Clausura |
Last archived meeting: Penarol vs Club Nacional on Apr 27, 2014
How many goals should we expect?
Club Nacional score 2.4 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Penarol score 2.1 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Nacional | 2.4 | 0.8 | 9 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Penarol | 2.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Club Nacional sit 7th in Primera División (22 points from 15 matches) and Penarol sit 4th (27 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 61 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 103 | 54 | 125 |
| 1 | Penarol | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 20 | 47 |
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 61 | 35 | 12 | 14 | 111 | 66 | 114 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 27 |
| 7 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 21 | 22 |
| 8 | Club Nacional | 24 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 35 | 33 | 35 |
| 15 | Club Nacional | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy