Club Nacional vs Penarol: result 2-3 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 24, 2013 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Centenario, Montevideo
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What was the result of Club Nacional vs Penarol?
Penarol won 2-3 on November 24, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 15′J. RodríguezPenarol
- 26′I. AlonsoClub Nacional
- 28′L. AguiarPenarol
- 47′J. RodríguezPenarol
- 85′D. ArismendiClub Nacional
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Club Nacional have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Penarol have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2013 | Cerro Largo(away) | 4-1 | Primera División |
| Nov 7, 2013 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 3-5 | Primera División |
| Nov 2, 2013 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 26, 2013 | Juventud(away) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 20, 2013 | Wanderers(home) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2013 | Fenix(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Nov 9, 2013 | SUD America(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Nov 3, 2013 | Miramar(home) | 5-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 27, 2013 | Cerro(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 19, 2013 | El Tanque Sisley(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Club Nacional win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Penarol win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2013 | Club Nacional 0-3 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 11, 2012 | Penarol 0-0 Club Nacional | Primera División |
| May 20, 2012 | Penarol 2-3 Club Nacional | Primera División - Clausura |
Last archived meeting: Club Nacional vs Penarol on May 5, 2013
How many goals should we expect?
Club Nacional score 1.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Penarol score 1.9 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Nacional | 1.8 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Penarol | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Club Nacional sit 7th in Primera División (22 points from 15 matches) and Penarol sit 4th (27 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 61 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 103 | 54 | 125 |
| 1 | Penarol | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 20 | 47 |
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 61 | 35 | 12 | 14 | 111 | 66 | 114 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 27 |
| 7 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 21 | 22 |
| 8 | Club Nacional | 24 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 35 | 33 | 35 |
| 15 | Club Nacional | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy