Club Nacional vs Progreso: result 1-0 and analysis
Primera DivisiónClausura - 3Kick-off on August 23, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Gran Parque Central, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Club Nacional vs Progreso?
Club Nacional won 1-0 on August 23, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 89′M. SilveraClub Nacional
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Club Nacional win at 67%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 2-0. Actual score: 1-0.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Club Nacional vs Progreso
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Club Nacional
- 9M. Gómez
- 27T. Verón
- 29T. Correa
- 10A. dos Santos
- 23L. Rodríguez
- 36B. Zuculini
- 2A. Rogel
- 4S. Coates
- 5F. Calvo
- 7N. Rodríguez
- 1L. Mejía
Progreso
- 7A. Ocampo
- 8M. Juambeltz
- 15M. Martin
- 17F. de León
- 5A. Pinheiro
- 16G. Trasante
- 21S. Bruschi
- 6M. Saravia
- 13H. Carroso
- 24E. Álvarez
- 1R. Bacchia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Club Nacional have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Progreso have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Boston River(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Progreso(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Tigre(away) | 2-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Tigre(home) | 0-3 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Deportivo Maldonado(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Central Espanol(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Club Nacional(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Deportivo Maldonado(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Albion FC(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Club Nacional wins, 1 draw, 0 Progreso wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | Club Nacional 2-1 Progreso | Primera División |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Progreso 0-1 Club Nacional | Primera División |
| Jan 22, 2026 | Club Nacional 1-1 Progreso | Copa De La Liga Auf |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Club Nacional 3-1 Progreso | Primera División - Clausura |
| May 23, 2025 | Club Nacional 1-0 Progreso | Primera División |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Progreso 1-5 Club Nacional | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Club Nacional vs Progreso on Aug 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Club Nacional score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Progreso score 0.8 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Nacional | 1.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Progreso | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Club Nacional sit 4th in Primera División (20 points from 10 matches) and Progreso sit 9th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Club Nacional | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 20 |
| 9 | Progreso | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 13 |
A question about Club Nacional vs Progreso?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy