Colchester United U21 vs Barnsley U21: prediction and stats
Professional Development LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on September 1, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Florence Park, Tiptree
The Footlab model makes Barnsley U21 the favourite at 49%, against 21% for a draw and 31% for Colchester United U21. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colchester United U21 vs Barnsley U21?
Barnsley U21 starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,722 vs 1,599).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colchester United U21 have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Barnsley U21 have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Bolton Wanderers Res.(away) | 0-7 | Professional Development League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Fleetwood Town U21(away) | 4-0 | Professional Development League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Braintree(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 20, 2026 | Bristol City U21(away) | 1-3 | Professional Development League |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Charlton Athletic U21(away) | 2-2 | Professional Development League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Charlton Athletic U21(home) | 2-2 | Professional Development League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Cardiff City U21(away) | 2-1 | Professional Development League |
| Apr 14, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday U21(away) | 0-4 | Professional Development League |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Colchester United U21(home) | 4-0 | Professional Development League |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Crewe Alexandra U21(away) | 2-5 | Professional Development League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Colchester United U21 win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Barnsley U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Barnsley U21 4-0 Colchester United U21 | Professional Development League |
| Aug 9, 2024 | Colchester United U21 1-3 Barnsley U21 | Professional Development League |
| Aug 21, 2023 | Colchester United U21 3-2 Barnsley U21 | Professional Development League |
| Apr 4, 2023 | Colchester United U21 1-1 Barnsley U21 | Professional Development League |
Last archived meeting: Barnsley U21 vs Colchester United U21 on Apr 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Colchester United U21 score 1.4 and concede 3.2 goals per match over their last 15; Barnsley U21 score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colchester United U21 | 1.4 | 3.2 | 1 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Barnsley U21 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Colchester United U21 sit 7th in Professional Development League (3 points from 2 matches) and Barnsley U21 sit 3rd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Barnsley U21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 7 | Colchester United U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colchester United U21 vs Barnsley U21?
- The Footlab model makes Barnsley U21 the favourite at 49%, against 21% for a draw and 31% for Colchester United U21.
- Where and when is Colchester United U21 vs Barnsley U21 played?
- Colchester United U21 vs Barnsley U21 is played on September 1, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Florence Park, in the Professional Development League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 14, 2026Fleetwood Town U210-4Colchester United U21
- Aug 17, 2026Swansea City U210-2Sheffield United U21
- Aug 18, 2026Peterborough United U212-0Queens Park Rangers U21
- Aug 18, 2026Bristol City U212-2Wigan Athletic U21
- Aug 18, 2026Cardiff City U211-2Barnsley U21
- Aug 18, 2026Charlton Athletic U210-1Bolton Wanderers Res.
- Aug 22, 2026Sheffield Wednesday U211-1Bristol City U21
- Aug 23, 2026Barnsley U212-2Charlton Athletic U21