Colchester vs Bury: result 4-1 and analysis
League OneRegular Season - 20Kick-off on December 10, 2011 at 03:00 PM (UTC)JobServe Community Stadium, Colchester, Essex
Full time
What was the result of Colchester vs Bury?
Colchester won 4-1 on December 10, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 2′K. DuguidColchester
- 19′I. HendersonColchester
- 31′K. DuguidColchester
- 66′L. JamesColchester
- 90′L. John-LewisBury
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colchester have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Bury have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2011 | Swindon Town(home) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Nov 26, 2011 | Carlisle(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Nov 19, 2011 | Milton Keynes Dons(home) | 1-5 | League One |
| Nov 12, 2011 | Crewe(away) | 4-1 | FA Cup |
| Nov 5, 2011 | Tranmere(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2011 | Preston(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Nov 19, 2011 | Walsall(away) | 4-2 | League One |
| Nov 12, 2011 | Crawley Town(home) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Nov 5, 2011 | Oldham(away) | 2-0 | League One |
| Oct 29, 2011 | Stevenage(home) | 1-2 | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Colchester score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bury score 1.3 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colchester | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Bury | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy