College 1975 vs Lions Gibraltar: prediction and stats
Premier DivisionRegular Season - 2Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Victoria Stadium, Gibraltar
The Footlab model makes Lions Gibraltar the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for College 1975. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win College 1975 vs Lions Gibraltar?
Lions Gibraltar starts as the favourite with a 265-point Elo edge (1,306 vs 1,041).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, College 1975 have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Lions Gibraltar have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Hound Dogs(away) | 1-1 | Premier Division |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Mons Calpe(away) | 0-2 | Premier Division |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Manchester 62(home) | 1-1 | Premier Division |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Glacis United(home) | 0-2 | Rock Cup |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Europa(home) | 0-1 | Premier Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Magpies(home) | 1-1 | Premier Division |
| Apr 26, 2026 | St Joseph S Fc(away) | 3-3 | Premier Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Lynx(away) | 1-0 | Premier Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(home) | 1-1 | Premier Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Europa(home) | 0-3 | Premier Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 College 1975 win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Lions Gibraltar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2025 | College 1975 0-2 Lions Gibraltar | Premier Division |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Lions Gibraltar 4-1 College 1975 | Premier Division |
| Dec 6, 2024 | College 1975 1-1 Lions Gibraltar | Premier Division |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Lions Gibraltar 1-0 College 1975 | Premier Division |
| Feb 6, 2024 | College 1975 1-3 Lions Gibraltar | Rock Cup |
| Jan 8, 2024 | Lions Gibraltar 1-1 College 1975 | Premier Division |
Last archived meeting: College 1975 vs Lions Gibraltar on Dec 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
College 1975 score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lions Gibraltar score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| College 1975 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 3 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Lions Gibraltar | 1.9 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
College 1975 sit 6th in Premier Division (1 points from 1 matches) and Lions Gibraltar sit 3rd (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lions Gibraltar | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 6 | College 1975 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for College 1975 vs Lions Gibraltar?
- The Footlab model makes Lions Gibraltar the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for College 1975.
- Where and when is College 1975 vs Lions Gibraltar played?
- College 1975 vs Lions Gibraltar is played on August 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Victoria Stadium, in the Premier Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.