Europa Point vs Europa: prediction and stats
Premier DivisionRegular Season - 2Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Victoria Stadium, Gibraltar
The Footlab model makes Europa the favourite at 78%, against 14% for a draw and 8% for Europa Point. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Europa Point vs Europa?
Europa is a heavy favourite: 1,466 Elo points against 1,079 — a 387-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Europa Point have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Europa have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | St Joseph S Fc(home) | 0-7 | Premier Division |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Magpies(home) | 0-3 | Premier Division |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Lions Gibraltar(away) | 0-4 | Rock Cup |
| Feb 9, 2026 | Mons Calpe(away) | 1-2 | Premier Division |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Manchester 62(home) | 1-0 | Premier Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Glacis United(home) | 2-2 | Premier Division |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Shkendija(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Shkendija(home) | 0-5 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Mons Calpe(home) | 4-1 | Premier Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(away) | 0-2 | Premier Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Europa Point win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Europa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | Europa Point 0-3 Europa | Premier Division |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Europa 2-0 Europa Point | Premier Division |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Europa 3-0 Europa Point | Premier Division |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Europa Point 1-5 Europa | Premier Division |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Europa 0-1 Europa Point | Premier Division |
| Jan 31, 2024 | Europa 3-0 Europa Point | Rock Cup |
Last archived meeting: Europa Point vs Europa on Dec 21, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Europa Point score 1.5 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Europa score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Europa Point | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
| Europa | 1.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 4/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Europa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Europa Point vs Europa?
- The Footlab model makes Europa the favourite at 78%, against 14% for a draw and 8% for Europa Point.
- Where and when is Europa Point vs Europa played?
- Europa Point vs Europa is played on August 30, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Victoria Stadium, in the Premier Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.