Collerense vs Santanyí: prediction and stats
Friendlies ClubsClub FriendliesKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Coll d’en Rebassa, Mallorca
The Footlab model makes Collerense the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Santanyí. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Collerense vs Santanyí?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Collerense (1,686) and Santanyí (1,736).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Collerense have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Santanyí have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Peña Deportiva(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 2, 2026 | Portmany(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Rotlet Molinar(away) | 5-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Constància(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Santanyí(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Felanitx(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 3, 2026 | Peña Deportiva(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Portmany(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Rotlet Molinar(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Collerense(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Collerense win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Santanyí win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Collerense 1-0 Santanyí | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Santanyí 2-0 Collerense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Santanyí 1-1 Collerense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Collerense 1-2 Santanyí | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 1, 2024 | Santanyí 5-1 Collerense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Jan 7, 2024 | Collerense 0-2 Santanyí | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
Last archived meeting: Collerense vs Santanyí on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Collerense score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Santanyí score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collerense | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Santanyí | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Collerense vs Santanyí?
- The Footlab model makes Collerense the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Santanyí.
- Where and when is Collerense vs Santanyí played?
- Collerense vs Santanyí is played on August 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Coll d’en Rebassa, in the Friendlies Clubs.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.