Colombia vs Ecuador: result 3-1 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification South AmericaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on March 29, 2016 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, Barranquilla
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What was the result of Colombia vs Ecuador?
Colombia won 3-1 on March 29, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 15′C. BaccaColombia
- 48′S. PérezColombia
- 67′C. BaccaColombia
- 90′Michael Antonio Arroyo MinaEcuador
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Colombia have 7 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Ecuador have 6, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2016 | Bolivia(away) | 3-2 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Nov 17, 2015 | Argentina(home) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Nov 12, 2015 | Chile(away) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 13, 2015 | Uruguay(away) | 0-3 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 8, 2015 | Peru(home) | 2-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2016 | Paraguay(home) | 2-2 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Nov 17, 2015 | Venezuela(away) | 3-1 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Nov 12, 2015 | Uruguay(home) | 2-1 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 13, 2015 | Bolivia(home) | 2-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 9, 2015 | Argentina(away) | 2-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
How many goals should we expect?
Colombia score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 14; Ecuador score 1.6 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colombia | 1.4 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/14 | 6/14 |
| Ecuador | 1.6 | 1.2 | 3 | 7/11 | 7/11 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Colombia sit 3rd in World Cup - Qualification South America (28 points from 18 matches) and Ecuador sit 2nd (29 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ecuador | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 5 | 29 |
| 3 | Colombia | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 28 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy