Uruguay vs Peru: result 1-0 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification South AmericaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on March 30, 2016 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Centenario, Montevideo
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What was the result of Uruguay vs Peru?
Uruguay won 1-0 on March 30, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 53′E. CavaniUruguay
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Uruguay have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Peru have 4, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2016 | Brazil(away) | 2-2 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Nov 17, 2015 | Chile(home) | 3-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Nov 12, 2015 | Ecuador(away) | 1-2 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 13, 2015 | Colombia(home) | 3-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 8, 2015 | Bolivia(away) | 2-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2016 | Venezuela(home) | 2-2 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Nov 18, 2015 | Brazil(away) | 0-3 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Nov 14, 2015 | Paraguay(home) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 14, 2015 | Chile(home) | 3-4 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 8, 2015 | Colombia(away) | 0-2 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
How many goals should we expect?
Uruguay score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Peru score 1.3 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uruguay | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Peru | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/11 | 6/11 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Uruguay sit 4th in World Cup - Qualification South America (28 points from 18 matches) and Peru sit 9th (12 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Uruguay | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 28 |
| 9 | Peru | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 21 | 12 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy