Colorado Rapids II vs North Texas: prediction and stats
MLS Next ProGroup StageKick-off on September 20, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Metropolitan State University of Denver Stadium, Denver
The Footlab model makes Colorado Rapids II the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for North Texas. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colorado Rapids II vs North Texas?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Colorado Rapids II (1,567) and North Texas (1,630).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colorado Rapids II have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; North Texas have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Real Monarchs(home) | 4-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sporting KC II(away) | 2-2 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 9, 2026 | St. Louis City II(home) | 0-0 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Los Angeles FC II(away) | 0-3 | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Tacoma Defiance(away) | 1-2 | MLS Next Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Minnesota United II(home) | 1-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Austin II(home) | 0-0 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Portland Timbers II(home) | 0-3 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Tacoma Defiance(home) | 3-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ventura County(away) | 1-6 | MLS Next Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Colorado Rapids II win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 North Texas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 2026 | Colorado Rapids II 1-0 North Texas | MLS Next Pro |
| Mar 8, 2026 | North Texas 3-1 Colorado Rapids II | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 3, 2025 | North Texas 1-4 Colorado Rapids II | MLS Next Pro |
| Jun 19, 2025 | Colorado Rapids II 1-1 North Texas | MLS Next Pro |
| Apr 21, 2025 | North Texas 2-3 Colorado Rapids II | MLS Next Pro |
| Sep 2, 2024 | North Texas 2-2 Colorado Rapids II | MLS Next Pro |
Last archived meeting: Colorado Rapids II vs North Texas on Jul 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Colorado Rapids II score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; North Texas score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rapids II | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| North Texas | 1.4 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Colorado Rapids II sit 14th in MLS Next Pro (18 points from 24 matches) and North Texas sit 9th (33 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | North Texas | 23 | 11 | 0 | 12 | 34 | 34 | 33 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids II | 24 | 5 | 0 | 19 | 24 | 45 | 18 |
| 9 | North Texas | 23 | 11 | 0 | 12 | 34 | 34 | 33 |
| 10 | North Texas | 21 | 9 | 0 | 12 | 33 | 33 | 29 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 24 | 5 | 0 | 19 | 24 | 45 | 18 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 23 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 20 | 44 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colorado Rapids II vs North Texas?
- The Footlab model makes Colorado Rapids II the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for North Texas.
- Where and when is Colorado Rapids II vs North Texas played?
- Colorado Rapids II vs North Texas is played on September 20, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Metropolitan State University of Denver Stadium, in the MLS Next Pro.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 28, 2026Inter Miami II1-1Chicago Fire II
- Feb 28, 2026Philadelphia Union II1-0Toronto II
- Feb 28, 2026St. Louis City II4-0Sporting KC II
- Mar 1, 2026Chattanooga1-4Crown Legacy
- Mar 1, 2026Portland Timbers II2-1The Town
- Mar 1, 2026New York RB II4-2Columbus Crew II
- Mar 1, 2026Real Monarchs2-2North Texas
- Mar 1, 2026FC Cincinnati II1-3Connecticut FC