Colorado Springs vs New Mexico United: prediction and stats
USL ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Weidner Field, Colorado Springs
The Footlab model makes Colorado Springs the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for New Mexico United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colorado Springs vs New Mexico United?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Colorado Springs (1,752) and New Mexico United (1,817).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colorado Springs have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; New Mexico United have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | El Paso Locomotive(home) | 0-1 | USL Championship |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Phoenix Rising(away) | 1-3 | USL Championship |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Birmingham Legion(home) | 3-2 | USL Championship |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Spokane Velocity(away) | 1-1 | USL League One Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rhode Island(away) | 0-2 | USL Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Loudoun United(away) | 0-0 | USL Championship |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Tulsa(home) | 1-0 | USL Championship |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Monterey Bay(away) | 5-2 | USL Championship |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Colorado Springs(home) | 1-0 | USL Championship |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Lexington(away) | 4-1 | USL Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Colorado Springs win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 New Mexico United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | New Mexico United 1-0 Colorado Springs | USL Championship |
| May 17, 2026 | Colorado Springs 4-0 New Mexico United | USL League One Cup |
| Mar 28, 2026 | New Mexico United 3-2 Colorado Springs | USL Championship |
| Sep 25, 2025 | Colorado Springs 1-2 New Mexico United | USL Championship |
| Jun 29, 2025 | New Mexico United 2-2 Colorado Springs | USL League One Cup |
| Jun 8, 2025 | New Mexico United 1-1 Colorado Springs | USL Championship |
Last archived meeting: New Mexico United vs Colorado Springs on Aug 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Colorado Springs score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; New Mexico United score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Springs | 1.4 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| New Mexico United | 1.7 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Colorado Springs sit 11th in USL Championship (13 points from 11 matches) and New Mexico United sit 9th (15 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Mexico United | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 17 | 34 |
| 9 | Colorado Springs | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 32 | 28 |
| 9 | New Mexico United | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 15 |
| 11 | Colorado Springs | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colorado Springs vs New Mexico United?
- The Footlab model makes Colorado Springs the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for New Mexico United.
- Where and when is Colorado Springs vs New Mexico United played?
- Colorado Springs vs New Mexico United is played on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC) at Weidner Field, in the USL Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 7, 2026Lexington1-2Louisville City
- Mar 7, 2026Charleston Battery2-1Pittsburgh Riverhounds
- Mar 8, 2026Sporting JAX0-3Hartford Athletic
- Mar 8, 2026Birmingham Legion0-1Tampa Bay Rowdies
- Mar 8, 2026San Antonio2-1Phoenix Rising
- Mar 8, 2026El Paso Locomotive2-2Colorado Springs
- Mar 8, 2026Sacramento Republic2-0FC Tulsa
- Mar 8, 2026Monterey Bay0-1Oakland Roots