Columbus Crew II vs Carolina Core: prediction and stats
MLS Next ProGroup StageKick-off on September 20, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Historic Crew Stadium, Columbus, Ohio
The Footlab model makes Columbus Crew II the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Carolina Core. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Columbus Crew II vs Carolina Core?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Columbus Crew II (1,664) and Carolina Core (1,593).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Columbus Crew II have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Carolina Core have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Huntsville City(away) | 0-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 15, 2026 | New York City II(home) | 4-2 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 8, 2026 | New York RB II(home) | 1-2 | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Connecticut FC(away) | 1-2 | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Philadelphia Union II(home) | 2-0 | MLS Next Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Cincinnati II(home) | 1-3 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Huntsville City(home) | 2-0 | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Atlanta United II(away) | 3-3 | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chicago Fire II(home) | 1-5 | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Inter Miami II(home) | 4-0 | MLS Next Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Columbus Crew II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Carolina Core win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2025 | Columbus Crew II 1-0 Carolina Core | MLS Next Pro |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Columbus Crew II 0-2 Carolina Core | MLS Next Pro |
Last archived meeting: Columbus Crew II vs Carolina Core on Jun 28, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Columbus Crew II score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Carolina Core score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbus Crew II | 1.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Carolina Core | 1.5 | 1.6 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Columbus Crew II sit 5th in MLS Next Pro (42 points from 23 matches) and Carolina Core sit 7th (26 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Columbus Crew II | 23 | 15 | 0 | 8 | 41 | 36 | 42 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew II | 22 | 15 | 0 | 7 | 41 | 35 | 42 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew II | 23 | 15 | 0 | 8 | 41 | 36 | 42 |
| 7 | Carolina Core | 24 | 8 | 0 | 16 | 33 | 43 | 26 |
| 14 | Carolina Core | 24 | 8 | 0 | 16 | 33 | 43 | 26 |
| 14 | Carolina Core | 23 | 8 | 0 | 15 | 32 | 40 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Columbus Crew II vs Carolina Core?
- The Footlab model makes Columbus Crew II the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Carolina Core.
- Where and when is Columbus Crew II vs Carolina Core played?
- Columbus Crew II vs Carolina Core is played on September 20, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Historic Crew Stadium, in the MLS Next Pro.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 28, 2026Inter Miami II1-1Chicago Fire II
- Feb 28, 2026Philadelphia Union II1-0Toronto II
- Feb 28, 2026St. Louis City II4-0Sporting KC II
- Mar 1, 2026Chattanooga1-4Crown Legacy
- Mar 1, 2026Portland Timbers II2-1The Town
- Mar 1, 2026New York RB II4-2Columbus Crew II
- Mar 1, 2026Real Monarchs2-2North Texas
- Mar 1, 2026FC Cincinnati II1-3Connecticut FC