Comercial vs Itapirense: result 4-2 and analysis
Copa Paulista1st Round - 7Kick-off on July 26, 2025 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Francisco de Palma Travassos, Ribeirão Preto, São Paulo
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What was the result of Comercial vs Itapirense?
Comercial won 4-2 on July 26, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 34′S. R. Andre d.Itapirense
- 42′567105Comercial
- 45′F. RodriguesComercial
- 50′Matheus PradoComercial
- 77′567107Comercial
- 80′567108Itapirense
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Comercial have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Itapirense have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2025 | Francana(away) | 0-1 | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 12, 2025 | União São João(home) | 0-1 | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 8, 2025 | Inter De Limeira(away) | 2-2 | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 2, 2025 | Botafogo SP B(home) | 1-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Jun 21, 2025 | Itapirense(away) | 1-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2025 | União São João(home) | 2-3 | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 16, 2025 | Inter De Limeira(home) | 2-4 | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 9, 2025 | Botafogo SP B(away) | 0-1 | Copa Paulista |
| Jun 28, 2025 | Francana(away) | 1-1 | Copa Paulista |
| Jun 21, 2025 | Comercial(home) | 0-1 | Copa Paulista |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Comercial win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Itapirense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2025 | Itapirense 0-1 Comercial | Copa Paulista |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Comercial 1-2 Itapirense | Paulista - A3 |
Last archived meeting: Itapirense vs Comercial on Jun 21, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Comercial score 0.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Itapirense score 0.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comercial | 0.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Itapirense | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy