Comercial vs Marília: result 0-1 and analysis
Copa Paulista1st Round - 1Kick-off on July 4, 2023 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Francisco de Palma Travassos, Ribeirão Preto, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Comercial vs Marília?
Marília won 0-1 on July 4, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 5′João MarcosMarília
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Comercial have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Marília have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2023 | Ponte Preta(away) | 0-3 | Paulista - A2 |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Ponte Preta(home) | 1-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Rio Claro(away) | 0-2 | Paulista - A2 |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Ponte Preta(home) | 1-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Mar 1, 2023 | XV de Piracicaba(away) | 0-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2023 | Matonense(home) | 1-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Apr 12, 2023 | EC São Bernardo(away) | 0-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Capivariano(home) | 0-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Capivariano(away) | 0-3 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 29, 2023 | EC São Bernardo(home) | 1-2 | Paulista - A3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Comercial win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Marília win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2022 | Marília 0-0 Comercial | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 16, 2022 | Comercial 0-2 Marília | Copa Paulista |
| Feb 9, 2022 | Comercial 2-1 Marília | Paulista - A3 |
| May 20, 2021 | Marília 0-0 Comercial | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 14, 2020 | Comercial 3-0 Marília | Paulista - A3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Comercial score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Marília score 1.2 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comercial | 0.9 | 1.2 | 2 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Marília | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy