Noroeste vs Grêmio Prudente: result 1-0 and analysis
Copa Paulista1st Round - 1Kick-off on July 1, 2023 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Alfredo de Castilho, Bauru, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Noroeste vs Grêmio Prudente?
Noroeste won 1-0 on July 1, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 90′HygorNoroeste
Official lineup for Noroeste vs Grêmio Prudente
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Noroeste
- CCarlão
- PPereira
- DDenner
- PPedro do Rio
- EEmerson
- JJohn Egito
- LLuizão
- DDiego Maia
- VVinicius Santana
- HHygor
- CCaio Bolonhin
Grêmio Prudente
- MMadalena
- FFelipinho
- RRafinha
- MMatheus Silva
- RRafinha
- CCesinha
- LLeocovick
- FFélix
- GGuilherme
- EEduardo Biazus
- LLuiz Silva
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Noroeste have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Grêmio Prudente have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | Novorizontino(away) | 0-3 | Paulista - A2 |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Novorizontino(home) | 1-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Mar 22, 2023 | Velo Clube(home) | 0-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Mar 17, 2023 | Velo Clube(away) | 1-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Ponte Preta(away) | 0-2 | Paulista - A2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2023 | São José EC(away) | 0-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Apr 22, 2023 | São José EC(home) | 0-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Desportivo Brasil(home) | 1-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Apr 12, 2023 | USAC(away) | 1-3 | Paulista - A3 |
| Apr 8, 2023 | São José EC(away) | 0-0 | Paulista - A3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Noroeste score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Grêmio Prudente score 1.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noroeste | 1.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Grêmio Prudente | 1.1 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy