Noroeste vs Grêmio Prudente: result 1-0 and analysis
Copa Paulista1st Round - 1Kick-off on July 1, 2023 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Alfredo de Castilho, Bauru, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Noroeste vs Grêmio Prudente?
Noroeste won 1-0 on July 1, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 90′HygorNoroeste
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Noroeste have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Grêmio Prudente have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | Novorizontino(away) | 0-3 | Paulista - A2 |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Novorizontino(home) | 1-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Mar 22, 2023 | Velo Clube(home) | 0-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Mar 17, 2023 | Velo Clube(away) | 1-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Ponte Preta(away) | 0-2 | Paulista - A2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2023 | São José EC(away) | 0-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Apr 22, 2023 | São José EC(home) | 0-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Desportivo Brasil(home) | 1-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Apr 12, 2023 | USAC(away) | 1-3 | Paulista - A3 |
| Apr 8, 2023 | São José EC(away) | 0-0 | Paulista - A3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Noroeste score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Grêmio Prudente score 1.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noroeste | 1.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Grêmio Prudente | 1.1 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy