Comercial vs Paulista: result 2-1 and analysis
Paulista - A3Regular Season - 5Kick-off on February 12, 2020 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Francisco de Palma Travassos, Ribeirão Preto, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Comercial vs Paulista?
Comercial won 2-1 on February 12, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 38′Rafael PetrilioPaulista
- 39′Rodrigo SabiáComercial
- 81′BrayanComercial (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Comercial have 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Paulista have 0, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2020 | Velo Clube(home) | 0-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Feb 1, 2020 | Nacional SP(away) | 0-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Jan 29, 2020 | Grêmio Osasco(home) | 1-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Jan 25, 2020 | Rio Preto(away) | 0-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2020 | Noroeste(away) | 0-2 | Paulista - A3 |
| Feb 1, 2020 | EC São Bernardo(home) | 0-3 | Paulista - A3 |
| Jan 29, 2020 | Barretos(away) | 1-2 | Paulista - A3 |
| Jan 25, 2020 | Nacional SP(home) | 1-1 | Paulista - A3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Comercial score 0.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 4; Paulista score 0.5 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comercial | 0.3 | 0.8 | 1 | 1/4 | 0/4 |
| Paulista | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0 | 2/4 | 2/4 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Paulista | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 13 | 23 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy