Marília vs EC São Bernardo: result 1-0 and analysis
Paulista - A3Regular Season - 5Kick-off on February 12, 2020 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Bento de Abreu Sampaio Vidal, Marília, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Marília vs EC São Bernardo?
Marília won 1-0 on February 12, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 22′Lucas FormigaMarília
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Marília have 1 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; EC São Bernardo have 2, 1 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2020 | Batatais(away) | 1-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Feb 1, 2020 | Primavera SP(home) | 0-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Jan 29, 2020 | Noroeste(away) | 0-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Jan 25, 2020 | Linense(home) | 0-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Aug 26, 2012 | Cianorte(home) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2020 | Olímpia(home) | 1-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Feb 1, 2020 | Paulista(away) | 3-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Jan 29, 2020 | Linense(away) | 1-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Jan 25, 2020 | Noroeste(home) | 0-2 | Paulista - A3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Marília score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 12; EC São Bernardo score 1.3 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marília | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 5/12 | 3/12 |
| EC São Bernardo | 1.3 | 0.8 | 2 | 1/4 | 1/4 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marília sit 2nd in Paulista - A3 (32 points from 15 matches) and EC São Bernardo sit 7th (23 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Marília | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 23 | 6 | 32 |
| 7 | EC São Bernardo | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 15 | 23 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy