Concordia vs Buchholz: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 21Kick-off on February 5, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Hinschenfelde, Hamburg
The Footlab model makes Buchholz the favourite at 61%, against 18% for a draw and 21% for Concordia. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Concordia vs Buchholz?
Buchholz starts as the favourite with a 175-point Elo edge (1,787 vs 1,612).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Concordia have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Buchholz have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Buchholz(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 14, 2026 | ETSV Hamburg(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 31, 2026 | HEBC(home) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Teutonia Ottensen(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 16, 2025 | Alsterbrüder(home) | 2-5 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Concordia(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Tus Dassendorf(home) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sasel(away) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | ETSV Hamburg(away) | 2-6 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 12, 2026 | Teutonia Ottensen(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Concordia win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Buchholz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Buchholz 1-1 Concordia | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Nov 29, 2024 | Concordia 0-0 Buchholz | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Buchholz 3-0 Concordia | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Mar 22, 2024 | Concordia 6-2 Buchholz | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Buchholz 2-1 Concordia | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Nov 27, 2022 | Buchholz 1-3 Concordia | Oberliga - Hamburg |
Last archived meeting: Buchholz vs Concordia on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Concordia score 1.3 and concede 3.0 goals per match over their last 15; Buchholz score 2.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 82% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concordia | 1.3 | 3.0 | 0 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Buchholz | 2.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Buchholz | 34 | 14 | 2 | 18 | 87 | 80 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Concordia vs Buchholz?
- The Footlab model makes Buchholz the favourite at 61%, against 18% for a draw and 21% for Concordia.
- Where and when is Concordia vs Buchholz played?
- Concordia vs Buchholz is played on February 5, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Hinschenfelde, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 82% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.