Buchholz vs ETSV Hamburg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Otto-Koch-Kampfbahn, Buchholz in der Nordheide
The Footlab AI model makes ETSV Hamburg the favourite at 66%, against 16% for a draw and 18% for Buchholz. The most likely score is 1-3.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Buchholz vs ETSV Hamburg?
ETSV Hamburg starts as the favourite with a 186-point Elo edge (1,964 vs 1,778).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Buchholz vs ETSV Hamburg
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Buchholz
Not enough data to predict the Buchholz lineup.
ETSV Hamburg
Not enough data to predict the ETSV Hamburg lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:19 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buchholz have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; ETSV Hamburg have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Paloma(home) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Nikola Tesla(away) | 1-6 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Teutonia Ottensen(away) | 3-6 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Harksheide(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Altona 93(home) | 5-5 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Niendorfer TSV(home) | 4-6 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Paloma(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Nikola Tesla(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Harksheide(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Buchholz(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Buchholz wins, 1 draw, 2 ETSV Hamburg wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2026 | ETSV Hamburg 1-4 Buchholz | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | ETSV Hamburg 6-2 Buchholz | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 5, 2026 | Buchholz 1-3 ETSV Hamburg | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Apr 1, 2025 | ETSV Hamburg 1-3 Buchholz | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 3, 2024 | Buchholz 4-2 ETSV Hamburg | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Nov 24, 2023 | ETSV Hamburg 1-1 Buchholz | Oberliga - Hamburg |
Last archived meeting: ETSV Hamburg vs Buchholz on Aug 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Buchholz score 2.3 and concede 2.8 goals per match over their last 15; ETSV Hamburg score 2.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 86% probability of over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buchholz | 2.3 | 2.8 | 3 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| ETSV Hamburg | 2.6 | 1.9 | 1 | 14/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Buchholz sit 12th in Oberliga - Hamburg (44 points from 34 matches) and ETSV Hamburg sit 1st (83 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ETSV Hamburg | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 126 | 27 | 83 |
| 12 | Buchholz | 34 | 14 | 2 | 18 | 87 | 80 | 44 |
A question about Buchholz vs ETSV Hamburg?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Buchholz vs ETSV Hamburg?
- The Footlab AI model makes ETSV Hamburg the favourite at 66%, against 16% for a draw and 18% for Buchholz.
- Where and when is Buchholz vs ETSV Hamburg played?
- Buchholz vs ETSV Hamburg is played on February 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Otto-Koch-Kampfbahn, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 86% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.