Concordia vs Metalul Buzău: prediction and stats
Liga IIRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC)Stadionul Concordia, Chiajna
The Footlab model makes Concordia the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Metalul Buzău. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Concordia vs Metalul Buzău?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Concordia (1,669) and Metalul Buzău (1,694).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Concordia have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Metalul Buzău have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Politehnica Timisoara(home) | 1-5 | Liga II |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Oţelul(home) | 5-1 | Cupa României |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gloria Bistriţa(away) | 2-1 | Liga II |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Progresul Mogosoaia(away) | 4-1 | Cupa României |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bihor Oradea(home) | 2-0 | Liga II |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slatina(away) | 0-2 | Liga II |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gloria Bistriţa(away) | 0-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 15, 2026 | CS Dinamo București(away) | 1-0 | Liga II |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Baicoi(away) | 4-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 8, 2026 | CS Afumati(home) | 3-1 | Liga II |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Concordia win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Metalul Buzău win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | Concordia 1-2 Metalul Buzău | Liga II |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Concordia 1-0 Metalul Buzău | Liga II |
Last archived meeting: Concordia vs Metalul Buzău on Oct 25, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Concordia score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Metalul Buzău score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concordia | 2.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Metalul Buzău | 1.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Concordia sit 4th in Liga II (9 points from 4 matches) and Metalul Buzău sit 8th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Concordia | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| 8 | Metalul Buzău | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Concordia vs Metalul Buzău?
- The Footlab model makes Concordia the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Metalul Buzău.
- Where and when is Concordia vs Metalul Buzău played?
- Concordia vs Metalul Buzău is played on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC) at Stadionul Concordia, in the Liga II.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026AFC HermannstadtvsCS Afumati
- Sep 19, 2026ASA Targu MuresvsCS Dinamo București
- Sep 19, 2026CSM Ramnicu ValceavsBihor Oradea
- Sep 19, 2026Popești-LeordenivsFC Politehnica Timisoara
- Sep 19, 2026SlatinavsViitorul Şelimbăr
- Sep 19, 2026Unirea SloboziavsChindia Targoviste
- Sep 19, 2026CSA Steaua BucureştivsGloria Bistriţa
- Sep 19, 2026DumbrăviţavsCSM Reşiţa