Match

FC Bacau vs Cetatea Suceava: prediction and stats

Liga IIRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC)Baza Sportivă FC Bacău, Ruși-Ciutea

FC BacauCetatea Suceava

The Footlab model makes FC Bacau the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Cetatea Suceava. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Bacau vs Cetatea Suceava?

A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate FC Bacau (1,692) and Cetatea Suceava (1,593).

FC Bacau win53 %
Draw25 %
Cetatea Suceava win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Bacau have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Cetatea Suceava have 12, 0 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Bacau
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026CSM Ramnicu Valcea(away)2-2Liga II
Aug 19, 2026Popești-Leordeni(away)3-0Cupa României
Aug 16, 2026CSA Steaua Bucureşti(home)3-0Liga II
Aug 12, 2026Viitorul Onesti(away)3-0Cupa României
Aug 8, 2026Popești-Leordeni(away)2-3Liga II
Cetatea Suceava
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Ştefăneşti(away)1-3Liga II
Aug 15, 2026CSM Satu Mare(home)2-0Liga II
Aug 12, 2026USV Iaşi(away)0-1Cupa României
Aug 8, 2026ASA Targu Mures(away)2-0Liga II
Aug 1, 2026Concordia(home)1-3Liga II

How many goals should we expect?

FC Bacau score 2.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Cetatea Suceava score 2.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Bacau2.01.276/1511/15
Cetatea Suceava2.31.068/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Bacau sit 6th in Liga II (7 points from 4 matches) and Cetatea Suceava sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6FC Bacau42111057
10Cetatea Suceava4202666

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Bacau vs Cetatea Suceava?
The Footlab model makes FC Bacau the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Cetatea Suceava.
Where and when is FC Bacau vs Cetatea Suceava played?
FC Bacau vs Cetatea Suceava is played on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC) at Baza Sportivă FC Bacău, in the Liga II.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: FC Bacau and Cetatea Suceava

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