FC Bacau vs Cetatea Suceava: prediction and stats
Liga IIRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC)Baza Sportivă FC Bacău, Ruși-Ciutea
The Footlab model makes FC Bacau the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Cetatea Suceava. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Bacau vs Cetatea Suceava?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate FC Bacau (1,692) and Cetatea Suceava (1,593).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Bacau have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Cetatea Suceava have 12, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea(away) | 2-2 | Liga II |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Popești-Leordeni(away) | 3-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 16, 2026 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti(home) | 3-0 | Liga II |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Viitorul Onesti(away) | 3-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Popești-Leordeni(away) | 2-3 | Liga II |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ştefăneşti(away) | 1-3 | Liga II |
| Aug 15, 2026 | CSM Satu Mare(home) | 2-0 | Liga II |
| Aug 12, 2026 | USV Iaşi(away) | 0-1 | Cupa României |
| Aug 8, 2026 | ASA Targu Mures(away) | 2-0 | Liga II |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Concordia(home) | 1-3 | Liga II |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Bacau score 2.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Cetatea Suceava score 2.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Bacau | 2.0 | 1.2 | 7 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
| Cetatea Suceava | 2.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Bacau sit 6th in Liga II (7 points from 4 matches) and Cetatea Suceava sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FC Bacau | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | Cetatea Suceava | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Bacau vs Cetatea Suceava?
- The Footlab model makes FC Bacau the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Cetatea Suceava.
- Where and when is FC Bacau vs Cetatea Suceava played?
- FC Bacau vs Cetatea Suceava is played on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC) at Baza Sportivă FC Bacău, in the Liga II.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026AFC HermannstadtvsCS Afumati
- Sep 19, 2026ConcordiavsMetalul Buzău
- Sep 19, 2026ASA Targu MuresvsCS Dinamo București
- Sep 19, 2026CSM Ramnicu ValceavsBihor Oradea
- Sep 19, 2026Popești-LeordenivsFC Politehnica Timisoara
- Sep 19, 2026SlatinavsViitorul Şelimbăr
- Sep 19, 2026Unirea SloboziavsChindia Targoviste
- Sep 19, 2026CSA Steaua BucureştivsGloria Bistriţa