Condal vs Lealtad: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Alejandro Ortea, Noreña
The Footlab AI model makes Lealtad the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Condal. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lealtad wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Condal vs Lealtad?
Lealtad starts as the favourite with a 150-point Elo edge (1,775 vs 1,625).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Condal vs Lealtad
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Condal
4-3-3- EEnol Sánchez
- 7Zucu
- LLuciano Manduci
- MMiguel Rodríguez
- AAndres Diaz
- AAlex Blanco
- DDarío Sobrino
- HHugo Sobrino
- BBorja Granda
- SSergio Rueda
- LLuis Suarez
Lealtad
4-3-3- AAdrián Rueda Colunga
- MM. Ouroui
- JJaime Alvarez
- 6Marcos Blanco
- YYerpes
- BBabafemo Fofana
- RRiki Menéndez
- OOmar Hernández
- AA. Mendy
- RRicardo Pesquera
- JJuan Junquera
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 03:56 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Condal have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Lealtad have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Andes(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Llanes(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Gijón Industrial(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Mosconia(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | San Martín(away) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Langreo(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Avilés Stadium(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Llanes(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Praviano(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Condal win, 1 draw, 4 Lealtad wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2025 | Condal 0-3 Lealtad | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Lealtad 1-1 Condal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Condal 0-5 Lealtad | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Lealtad 3-0 Condal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Lealtad 1-2 Condal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 17, 2022 | Condal 0-2 Lealtad | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Condal score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lealtad score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Condal | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Lealtad | 1.2 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Condal sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 (11 points from 5 matches) and Lealtad sit 8th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Condal | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 11 |
| 8 | Lealtad | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
A question about Condal vs Lealtad?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Condal vs Lealtad?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lealtad the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Condal.
- Where and when is Condal vs Lealtad played?
- Condal vs Lealtad is played on April 11, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Alejandro Ortea, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.