San Martín vs Caudal: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Florán, San Martín del Rey Aurelio
The Footlab AI model makes Caudal the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for San Martín. The most likely score is 1-1. If Caudal wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,930 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Martín vs Caudal?
Caudal starts as the favourite with a 179-point Elo edge (1,890 vs 1,711).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for San Martín vs Caudal
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
San Martín
Not enough data to predict the San Martín lineup.
Caudal
Not enough data to predict the Caudal lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 07:57 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Martín have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Caudal have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | L'Entregu(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Covadonga(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ceares(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Astur(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Andes(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Lealtad(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Praviano(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | L'Entregu(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Covadonga(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 San Martín win, 3 draws, 2 Caudal wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | San Martín 1-0 Caudal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Caudal 3-3 San Martín | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Feb 9, 2025 | San Martín 0-1 Caudal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Caudal 0-0 San Martín | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 9, 2022 | San Martín 1-4 Caudal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 28, 2021 | Caudal 2-2 San Martín | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
San Martín score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Caudal score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Martín | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Caudal | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Martín sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 (9 points from 7 matches) and Caudal sit 6th (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Caudal | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 12 |
| 11 | San Martín | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 9 |
A question about San Martín vs Caudal?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Martín vs Caudal?
- The Footlab AI model makes Caudal the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for San Martín.
- Where and when is San Martín vs Caudal played?
- San Martín vs Caudal is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Florán, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.