Confiança vs Falcon: result 1-1 and analysis
SergipanoSemi-finalKick-off on April 1, 2022 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Estadual Lourival Baptista, Aracaju, Sergipe
Full time
What was the result of Confiança vs Falcon?
Confiança and Falcon drew 1-1 on April 1, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 13′AbnerFalcon
- 31′Ítalo MeloConfiança
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Confiança have 6 wins, 8 draws and 1 defeats; Falcon have 7, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2022 | AO Itabaiana(home) | 2-1 | Sergipano |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Atlético Gloriense(away) | 0-0 | Sergipano |
| Mar 12, 2022 | Sergipe(home) | 1-1 | Sergipano |
| Feb 26, 2022 | América SE(away) | 4-0 | Sergipano |
| Feb 19, 2022 | Frei Paulistano(home) | 1-0 | Sergipano |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2022 | Frei Paulistano(home) | 6-0 | Sergipano |
| Mar 19, 2022 | América SE(away) | 1-0 | Sergipano |
| Mar 13, 2022 | Atlético Gloriense(home) | 1-0 | Sergipano |
| Mar 9, 2022 | Sergipe(home) | 1-0 | Sergipano |
| Feb 25, 2022 | AO Itabaiana(away) | 1-2 | Sergipano |
How many goals should we expect?
Confiança score 1.4 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Falcon score 2.0 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Confiança | 1.4 | 0.6 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Falcon | 2.0 | 0.7 | 5 | 4/10 | 5/10 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Confiança sit 4th in Sergipano (15 points from 9 matches) and Falcon sit 7th (11 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Confiança | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 15 |
| 7 | Falcon | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 11 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy