Falcon vs Confiança: result 1-1 and analysis
SergipanoSemi-finalKick-off on April 3, 2022 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Estadual Lourival Baptista, Aracaju, Sergipe
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What was the result of Falcon vs Confiança?
Falcon and Confiança drew 1-1 on April 3, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 60′MarcinhoFalcon
- 68′Renan GorneConfiança (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Falcon have 7 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Confiança have 5, 9 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2022 | Confiança(away) | 1-1 | Sergipano |
| Mar 26, 2022 | Frei Paulistano(home) | 6-0 | Sergipano |
| Mar 19, 2022 | América SE(away) | 1-0 | Sergipano |
| Mar 13, 2022 | Atlético Gloriense(home) | 1-0 | Sergipano |
| Mar 9, 2022 | Sergipe(home) | 1-0 | Sergipano |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2022 | Falcon(home) | 1-1 | Sergipano |
| Mar 26, 2022 | AO Itabaiana(home) | 2-1 | Sergipano |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Atlético Gloriense(away) | 0-0 | Sergipano |
| Mar 12, 2022 | Sergipe(home) | 1-1 | Sergipano |
| Feb 26, 2022 | América SE(away) | 4-0 | Sergipano |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Falcon win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Confiança win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2022 | Confiança 1-1 Falcon | Sergipano |
How many goals should we expect?
Falcon score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 11; Confiança score 1.3 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falcon | 1.9 | 0.7 | 5 | 5/11 | 5/11 |
| Confiança | 1.3 | 0.5 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Falcon sit 7th in Sergipano (11 points from 9 matches) and Confiança sit 4th (15 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Confiança | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 15 |
| 7 | Falcon | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 11 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy