Conil vs Sevilla III: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 10Group 10 - 25Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Jose António Pérez Ureba, Conil de la Frontera
The Footlab AI model makes Conil the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Sevilla III. The most likely score is 1-1. If Conil wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Conil vs Sevilla III?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Conil (1,744) and Sevilla III (1,701).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Conil vs Sevilla III
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Conil
Not enough data to predict the Conil lineup.
Sevilla III
Not enough data to predict the Sevilla III lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:09 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Conil have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Sevilla III have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ceuta II(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Córdoba II(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(away) | 1-2 | Copa Federacion |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Linense(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cádiz II(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tomares(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Chiclana(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Egabrense(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | San Roque Lepe(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Xerez Deportivo(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Conil wins, 2 draws, 2 Sevilla III wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Conil 2-0 Sevilla III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Sevilla III 1-0 Conil | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Sevilla III 3-1 Conil | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Conil 0-0 Sevilla III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Mar 27, 2024 | Sevilla III 1-1 Conil | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Conil 1-0 Sevilla III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
How many goals should we expect?
Conil score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Sevilla III score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conil | 1.1 | 1.4 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Sevilla III | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Conil sit 14th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 (6 points from 6 matches) and Sevilla III sit 17th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Conil | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 6 |
| 17 | Sevilla III | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 5 |
A question about Conil vs Sevilla III?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Conil vs Sevilla III?
- The Footlab AI model makes Conil the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Sevilla III.
- Where and when is Conil vs Sevilla III played?
- Conil vs Sevilla III is played on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Jose António Pérez Ureba, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 10.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.