Conil vs Xerez Deportivo: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 10Group 10 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Jose António Pérez Ureba, Conil de la Frontera
The Footlab AI model makes Conil the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Xerez Deportivo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Conil wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,262 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Conil vs Xerez Deportivo?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Conil (1,715) and Xerez Deportivo (1,797).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Conil vs Xerez Deportivo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Conil
Not enough data to predict the Conil lineup.
Xerez Deportivo
Not enough data to predict the Xerez Deportivo lineup.
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 07:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Conil have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Xerez Deportivo have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Betis C(away) | 3-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Bollullos(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sevilla III(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Portuense(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ceuta II(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Dos Hermanas(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Tomares(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Chiclana(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Egabrense(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | San Roque Lepe(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Conil win, 1 draw, 3 Xerez Deportivo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2024 | Xerez Deportivo 1-0 Conil | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Dec 17, 2023 | Conil 0-1 Xerez Deportivo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Mar 7, 2021 | Xerez Deportivo 1-0 Conil | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Dec 9, 2020 | Conil 1-1 Xerez Deportivo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Nov 24, 2019 | Xerez Deportivo 0-1 Conil | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
Last archived meeting: Xerez Deportivo vs Conil on May 1, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Conil score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Xerez Deportivo score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conil | 1.0 | 1.4 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Xerez Deportivo | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Conil sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 (11 points from 9 matches) and Xerez Deportivo sit 4th (18 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Xerez Deportivo | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 18 |
| 12 | Conil | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 11 |
A question about Conil vs Xerez Deportivo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Conil vs Xerez Deportivo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Conil the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Xerez Deportivo.
- Where and when is Conil vs Xerez Deportivo played?
- Conil vs Xerez Deportivo is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Jose António Pérez Ureba, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 10.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.