Match

Tomares vs Egabrense: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 10Group 10 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal San Sebastián, Tomares

TomaresEgabrense

The Footlab model makes Tomares the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Egabrense. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tomares vs Egabrense?

Tomares win40 %
Draw29 %
Egabrense win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tomares have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Egabrense have 0, 0 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tomares
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Cádiz II(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 10
May 3, 2026Coria CF(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 10
Apr 26, 2026Ciudad de Lucena(away)0-5Tercera División RFEF - Group 10
Apr 19, 2026Ceuta II(home)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 10
Apr 12, 2026Bollullos(away)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 10

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15Tomares3410915344639

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tomares vs Egabrense?
The Footlab model makes Tomares the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Egabrense.
Where and when is Tomares vs Egabrense played?
Tomares vs Egabrense is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal San Sebastián, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 10.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Tomares and Egabrense

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