Tomares vs Egabrense: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 10Group 10 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal San Sebastián, Tomares
The Footlab AI model makes Tomares the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Egabrense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tomares wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,446 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tomares vs Egabrense?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Tomares (1,767) and Egabrense (1,752).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tomares vs Egabrense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tomares
Not enough data to predict the Tomares lineup.
Egabrense
Not enough data to predict the Egabrense lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:24 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tomares have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Egabrense have 2, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sevilla III(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Portuense(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ceuta II(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Córdoba II(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Linense(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Betis C(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Bollullos(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sevilla III(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Portuense(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ceuta II(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
How many goals should we expect?
Tomares score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Egabrense score 2.0 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomares | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Egabrense | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1 | 5/6 | 5/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tomares sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 (11 points from 6 matches) and Egabrense sit 7th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Tomares | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 11 |
| 7 | Egabrense | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 8 |
A question about Tomares vs Egabrense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tomares vs Egabrense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tomares the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Egabrense.
- Where and when is Tomares vs Egabrense played?
- Tomares vs Egabrense is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal San Sebastián, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 10.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.