Match

Connecticut FC vs Inter Miami II: prediction and stats

MLS Next ProGroup StageKick-off on September 20, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)

Connecticut FCInter Miami II

The Footlab model makes Connecticut FC the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Inter Miami II. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Connecticut FC vs Inter Miami II?

Connecticut FC starts as the favourite with a 163-point Elo edge (1,710 vs 1,547).

Connecticut FC win67 %
Draw19 %
Inter Miami II win14 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Connecticut FC have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Inter Miami II have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Connecticut FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Philadelphia Union II(away)4-2MLS Next Pro
Aug 19, 2026Crown Legacy(away)2-0MLS Next Pro
Aug 16, 2026FC Cincinnati II(away)3-2MLS Next Pro
Aug 9, 2026New England II(home)1-2MLS Next Pro
Aug 1, 2026Orlando City II(home)4-2MLS Next Pro
Inter Miami II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Chicago Fire II(away)1-3MLS Next Pro
Aug 19, 2026New England II(home)4-2MLS Next Pro
Aug 16, 2026Huntsville City(away)0-2MLS Next Pro
Aug 7, 2026Crown Legacy(home)0-2MLS Next Pro
Jul 31, 2026Chattanooga(home)0-1MLS Next Pro

How many goals should we expect?

Connecticut FC score 2.6 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Inter Miami II score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Connecticut FC2.61.6213/1514/15
Inter Miami II0.91.536/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Connecticut FC sit 3rd in MLS Next Pro (43 points from 24 matches) and Inter Miami II sit 8th (11 points from 23 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Connecticut FC241509494143
3Connecticut FC241509494143
7Connecticut FC221309433937
8Inter Miami II233020215611
16Inter Miami II233020215611
16Inter Miami II21201916518

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Connecticut FC vs Inter Miami II?
The Footlab model makes Connecticut FC the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Inter Miami II.
Where and when is Connecticut FC vs Inter Miami II played?
Connecticut FC vs Inter Miami II is played on September 20, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC), in the MLS Next Pro.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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