Cook Islands vs Papua New Guinea: prediction and stats
Pacific Games5th-8th Place Play-offsKick-off on November 27, 2023 at 08:00 AM (UTC)Cook Islands National Stadium, Avarua, Rarotonga
Match cancelled
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Cook Islands have 3 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; Papua New Guinea have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2023 | New Caledonia(home) | 0-8 | Pacific Games |
| Nov 21, 2023 | Tonga(away) | 2-1 | Pacific Games |
| Sep 1, 2023 | Tahiti(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies |
| Aug 29, 2023 | Tahiti(away) | 1-9 | Friendlies |
| Mar 17, 2022 | Solomon Islands(home) | 0-2 | World Cup - Qualification Oceania |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2023 | Vanuatu(away) | 1-1 | Pacific Games |
| Nov 17, 2023 | Tuvalu(home) | 3-0 | Pacific Games |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Vanuatu(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Oct 11, 2023 | New Caledonia(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Solomon Islands(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Cook Islands score 0.9 and concede 3.1 goals per match over their last 8; Papua New Guinea score 1.5 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cook Islands | 0.9 | 3.1 | 2 | 2/8 | 5/8 |
| Papua New Guinea | 1.5 | 1.8 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy