Tahiti vs Samoa: result 2-1 and analysis
Pacific Games5th-8th Place Play-offsKick-off on November 27, 2023 at 05:00 AM (UTC)Stade Pater Te Hono Nui, Papeete
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What was the result of Tahiti vs Samoa?
Tahiti won 2-1 on November 27, 2023.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tahiti have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Samoa have 4, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2023 | Northern Mariana Islands(away) | 5-0 | Pacific Games |
| Nov 21, 2023 | Fiji(away) | 0-0 | Pacific Games |
| Sep 1, 2023 | Cook Islands(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies |
| Aug 29, 2023 | Cook Islands(home) | 9-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 24, 2023 | New Caledonia(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2023 | American Samoa(away) | 10-0 | Pacific Games |
| Nov 17, 2023 | Solomon Islands(home) | 0-1 | Pacific Games |
| Jul 18, 2019 | Vanuatu(away) | 0-11 | Pacific Games |
| Jul 12, 2019 | Tonga(home) | 2-0 | Pacific Games |
| Jul 10, 2019 | New Zealand(away) | 1-5 | Pacific Games |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Tahiti win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Samoa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2016 | Tahiti 4-0 Samoa | World Cup - Qualification Oceania |
How many goals should we expect?
Tahiti score 2.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Samoa score 1.6 and concede 3.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tahiti | 2.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Samoa | 1.6 | 3.8 | 3 | 2/12 | 9/12 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy