Corinthians vs Bahia: result 1-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 32Kick-off on October 20, 2012 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro
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What was the result of Corinthians vs Bahia?
Corinthians and Bahia drew 1-1 on October 20, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 12′Douglas dos SantosCorinthians (pen.)
- 33′Leandro Fahel MatosBahia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Corinthians have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Bahia have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2012 | Cruzeiro(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 14, 2012 | Portuguesa(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 11, 2012 | Flamengo(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 6, 2012 | Nautico Recife(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 30, 2012 | Sport Recife(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2012 | Palmeiras(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 14, 2012 | Coritiba(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 10, 2012 | Fluminense(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 5, 2012 | Flamengo(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 30, 2012 | Botafogo(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Corinthians win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Bahia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2012 | Bahia 0-0 Corinthians | Serie A |
| Sep 25, 2011 | Corinthians 1-0 Bahia | Serie A |
| Jun 30, 2011 | Bahia 0-1 Corinthians | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Corinthians score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Bahia score 1.2 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corinthians | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Bahia | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Corinthians sit 9th in Serie A (32 points from 23 matches) and Bahia sit 6th (37 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bahia | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 28 | 37 |
| 9 | Corinthians | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 25 | 22 | 32 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy