Atletico-MG vs Fluminense: result 3-2 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 32Kick-off on October 21, 2012 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais
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What was the result of Atletico-MG vs Fluminense?
Atletico-MG won 3-2 on October 21, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 56′Wellington NemFluminense
- 69′JôAtletico-MG
- 82′JôAtletico-MG
- 85′Frederico Chaves GuedesFluminense
- 90′Leonardo SilvaAtletico-MG
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico-MG have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Fluminense have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2012 | Santos(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 14, 2012 | Sport Recife(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 11, 2012 | Internacional(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Oct 6, 2012 | Figueirense(home) | 6-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 29, 2012 | Portuguesa(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2012 | Gremio(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 14, 2012 | Ponte Preta(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 10, 2012 | Bahia(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 6, 2012 | Botafogo(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 30, 2012 | Flamengo(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Atletico-MG win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Fluminense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2012 | Fluminense 0-0 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Oct 22, 2011 | Fluminense 0-2 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Jul 27, 2011 | Atletico-MG 1-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Sep 24, 2010 | Fluminense 5-1 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| May 30, 2010 | Atletico-MG 1-3 Fluminense | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Fluminense vs Atletico-MG on Jul 29, 2012
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico-MG score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Fluminense score 1.6 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Fluminense | 1.6 | 0.8 | 6 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico-MG sit 8th in Serie A (33 points from 23 matches) and Fluminense sit 4th (41 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fluminense | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 29 | 41 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 27 | 33 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy