Corpus Christi vs Boise: prediction and stats
USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on September 27, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Dugan Soccer & Track Stadium, Corpus Christi, Texas
The Footlab model makes Corpus Christi the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Boise. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Corpus Christi vs Boise?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Corpus Christi (1,727) and Boise (1,719).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Corpus Christi have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Boise have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Westchester SC(home) | 2-2 | USL League One |
| Aug 20, 2026 | NY Cosmos(home) | 0-2 | USL League One |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Spokane Velocity(away) | 3-2 | USL League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Portland Hearts of Pine(away) | 2-0 | USL League One |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Boise(away) | 0-0 | USL League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | One Knoxville(away) | 2-2 | USL League One |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Sporting San Jose(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Forward Madison(home) | 2-1 | USL League One |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Corpus Christi(home) | 0-0 | USL League One |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Greenville Triumph(away) | 2-3 | USL League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Corpus Christi win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Boise win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | Boise 0-0 Corpus Christi | USL League One |
Last archived meeting: Boise vs Corpus Christi on Aug 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Corpus Christi score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Boise score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corpus Christi | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Boise | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Corpus Christi sit 9th in USL League One (30 points from 23 matches) and Boise sit 6th (35 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Boise | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 33 | 31 | 35 |
| 9 | Corpus Christi | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 32 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Corpus Christi vs Boise?
- The Footlab model makes Corpus Christi the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Boise.
- Where and when is Corpus Christi vs Boise played?
- Corpus Christi vs Boise is played on September 27, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Dugan Soccer & Track Stadium, in the USL League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 8, 2026Westchester SC2-3One Knoxville
- Mar 8, 2026Naples2-0Fort Wayne
- Mar 8, 2026Sarasota Paradise0-1Boise
- Mar 8, 2026Alta1-1Richmond Kickers
- Mar 8, 2026TormentavsSpokane Velocity
- Mar 14, 2026NY Cosmos1-3Portland Hearts of Pine
- Mar 14, 2026TormentavsAlta
- Mar 14, 2026Greenville Triumph1-2Chattanooga Red Wolves