Cortes vs Cirbonero: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 17Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio San Francisco Javier, Cortes (Navarra)
The Footlab model makes Cortes the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Cirbonero. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cortes vs Cirbonero?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Cortes (1,743) and Cirbonero (1,759).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cortes have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Cirbonero have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Txantrea(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 3, 2026 | Pamplona(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Cirbonero(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Atlético Artajonés(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Subiza(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Valle Egüés(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 3, 2026 | Huarte(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Cortes(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Oberena(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Izarra(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Cortes win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Cirbonero win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Cirbonero 2-2 Cortes | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Cortes 1-0 Cirbonero | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Cirbonero 0-2 Cortes | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Cortes 1-2 Cirbonero | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Mar 28, 2024 | Cirbonero 0-0 Cortes | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Cortes 2-1 Cirbonero | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
How many goals should we expect?
Cortes score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Cirbonero score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cortes | 1.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Cirbonero | 1.2 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cortes sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (44 points from 33 matches) and Cirbonero sit 10th (43 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cortes | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 35 | 48 | 44 |
| 10 | Cirbonero | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 38 | 42 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cortes vs Cirbonero?
- The Footlab model makes Cortes the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Cirbonero.
- Where and when is Cortes vs Cirbonero played?
- Cortes vs Cirbonero is played on January 9, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio San Francisco Javier, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.