Bidezarra vs Pamplona: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 17Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Bidezarra de Noain, Noain
The Footlab AI model makes Pamplona the favourite at 46%, against 30% for a draw and 24% for Bidezarra. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bidezarra vs Pamplona?
Pamplona starts as the favourite with a 178-point Elo edge (1,885 vs 1,707).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bidezarra vs Pamplona
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bidezarra
Not enough data to predict the Bidezarra lineup.
Pamplona
Not enough data to predict the Pamplona lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bidezarra have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Pamplona have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Subiza(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Beti Onak(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Txantrea(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Izarra(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cortes(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Izarra(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Huarte(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cortes(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Doneztebe FT(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Beti Kozkor(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bidezarra win, 3 draws, 2 Pamplona wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Pamplona 3-1 Bidezarra | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Bidezarra 0-1 Pamplona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Bidezarra 2-1 Pamplona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Pamplona 0-0 Bidezarra | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 1, 2024 | Bidezarra 0-0 Pamplona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Jan 7, 2024 | Pamplona 1-1 Bidezarra | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
Last archived meeting: Pamplona vs Bidezarra on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bidezarra score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pamplona score 1.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bidezarra | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Pamplona | 1.1 | 0.8 | 5 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bidezarra sit 17th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (3 points from 6 matches) and Pamplona sit 15th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pamplona | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | Bidezarra | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 3 |
A question about Bidezarra vs Pamplona?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bidezarra vs Pamplona?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pamplona the favourite at 46%, against 30% for a draw and 24% for Bidezarra.
- Where and when is Bidezarra vs Pamplona played?
- Bidezarra vs Pamplona is played on January 9, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Bidezarra de Noain, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.