Covadonga vs Caudal: result 4-0 and analysis
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 3Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Juan Antonio Alvarez Rabanal, Oviedo
Full time
What was the result of Covadonga vs Caudal?
Covadonga won 4-0 on September 20, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 17′652140Covadonga
- 47′578655Covadonga
- 52′652140Covadonga
- 87′?Covadonga
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Covadonga win at 45%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 4-0.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Covadonga have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Caudal have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Langreo(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Avilés Stadium(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Caudal(home) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 31, 2026 | Caudal(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 24, 2026 | Mosconia(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Ceares(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Salamanca UDS(away) | 2-3 | Copa Federacion |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Astur(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Atlético Central(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Atlético Central(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Covadonga win, 1 draw, 4 Caudal wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Covadonga 2-4 Caudal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 31, 2026 | Caudal 2-1 Covadonga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Caudal 2-1 Covadonga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Covadonga 1-0 Caudal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Caudal 1-0 Covadonga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Covadonga 0-0 Caudal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Covadonga score 2.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Caudal score 2.0 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Covadonga | 2.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Caudal | 2.0 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Covadonga sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 (13 points from 5 matches) and Caudal sit 7th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Covadonga | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Caudal | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
A question about Covadonga vs Caudal?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy