Caudal vs San Martín: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Hermanos Antuña, Mieres del Camino
The Footlab AI model makes Caudal the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for San Martín. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Caudal vs San Martín?
Caudal starts as the favourite with a 179-point Elo edge (1,890 vs 1,711).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Caudal vs San Martín
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Caudal
Not enough data to predict the Caudal lineup.
San Martín
Not enough data to predict the San Martín lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 10:14 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caudal have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; San Martín have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Lealtad(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Praviano(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | L'Entregu(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Covadonga(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | L'Entregu(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Covadonga(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ceares(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Astur(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Andes(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Caudal wins, 3 draws, 1 San Martín win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | San Martín 1-0 Caudal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Caudal 3-3 San Martín | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Feb 9, 2025 | San Martín 0-1 Caudal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Caudal 0-0 San Martín | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 9, 2022 | San Martín 1-4 Caudal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 28, 2021 | Caudal 2-2 San Martín | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Caudal score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; San Martín score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caudal | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| San Martín | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caudal sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 (12 points from 7 matches) and San Martín sit 11th (9 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Caudal | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 12 |
| 11 | San Martín | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 9 |
A question about Caudal vs San Martín?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Caudal vs San Martín?
- The Footlab AI model makes Caudal the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for San Martín.
- Where and when is Caudal vs San Martín played?
- Caudal vs San Martín is played on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Hermanos Antuña, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.