Covadonga vs Siero: result 2-1 and analysis
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Juan Antonio Alvarez Rabanal, Oviedo
Full time
What was the result of Covadonga vs Siero?
Covadonga won 2-1 on October 4, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 60′Borja MontesSiero
- 65′Álex AriasCovadonga
- 77′Álex AriasCovadonga
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Covadonga win at 74%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 2-0. Actual score: 2-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Covadonga have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Siero have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Colunga(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Caudal(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Langreo(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Avilés Stadium(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Caudal(home) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ceares(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Astur(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Andes(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Condal(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 10, 2026 | Ceares(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Covadonga win, 1 draw, 1 Siero win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Covadonga 5-0 Siero | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Siero 2-1 Covadonga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 15, 2019 | Covadonga 3-3 Siero | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Covadonga score 2.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Siero score 0.8 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Covadonga | 2.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Siero | 0.8 | 1.3 | 7 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Covadonga sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 (13 points from 5 matches) and Siero sit 4th (12 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Covadonga | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Siero | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
A question about Covadonga vs Siero?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy