Coventry vs Aston Villa: result 1-3 and analysis
League CupRound of 32Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)The Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry, West Midlands
Full time
What was the result of Coventry vs Aston Villa?
Aston Villa won 1-3 on September 16, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 7′T. AbrahamAston Villa
- 27′V. TorpCoventry
- 40′R. BarkleyAston Villa
- 59′T. AbrahamAston Villa
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Aston Villa win at 43%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-3.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Coventry vs Aston Villa
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Coventry
4-2-3-1- 49S. Cherif
- 34Y. Gboho
- 38G. Hamer
- 7T. Sakamoto
- 29V. Torp
- 8Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi
- 12S. Mfuni
- 24A. Amenda
- 4B. Thomas
- 22J. Latibeaudiere
- 25D. Bentley
Aston Villa
4-2-3-1- 18T. Abraham
- 53George Hemmings
- 7J. McGinn
- 19I. Mbaye
- 6R. Barkley
- 26L. Bogarde
- 13M. Ruggeri
- 5T. Mings
- 4T. Harwood-Bellis
- 29A. Wan-Bissaka
- 40M. Bizot
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Coventry have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Aston Villa have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Brighton(home) | 0-5 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Plymouth(away) | 4-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Arsenal(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Club Brugge KV(away) | 3-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Hull City(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Brighton(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Coventry score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Aston Villa score 1.8 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry | 1.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Aston Villa | 1.8 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Coventry vs Aston Villa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy