Aston Villa vs Everton: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 2, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Villa Park, Birmingham
The Footlab AI model makes Aston Villa the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Everton. The most likely score is 1-1. If Aston Villa wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aston Villa vs Everton?
A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Aston Villa (2,252) and Everton (2,160).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aston Villa vs Everton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aston Villa
4-2-3-1- 11N. Jackson
- 8B. Kamara
- 7J. McGinn
- 10E. Buendía
- 44J. Manzambi
- 35João Gomes
- 3V. Lindelöf
- 5T. Mings
- 2M. Cash
- 13M. Ruggeri
- 1Z. Suzuki
Everton
4-2-3-1- 11T. Barry
- 8K. Dewsbury-Hall
- 37J. Garner
- 45H. Armstrong
- 22B. Johnson
- 10J. Grealish
- 6J. Tarkowski
- 4J. Branthwaite
- 2A. Maitland-Niles
- 5M. Keane
- 1J. Pickford
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 04:04 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aston Villa have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Everton have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Fenerbahçe(home) | 6-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Brentford(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Sevilla(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Tottenham(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Coventry(away) | 3-1 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Hull City(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ipswich(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Wolves(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Tottenham(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Manchester United(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Aston Villa wins, 2 draws, 2 Everton wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Aston Villa 0-1 Everton | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Everton 0-0 Aston Villa | Premier League |
| Jan 15, 2025 | Everton 0-1 Aston Villa | Premier League |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Aston Villa 3-2 Everton | Premier League |
| Jan 14, 2024 | Everton 0-0 Aston Villa | Premier League |
| Sep 27, 2023 | Aston Villa 1-2 Everton | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Aston Villa vs Everton on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aston Villa score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Everton score 1.6 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Everton | 1.6 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aston Villa sit 16th in Premier League (5 points from 6 matches) and Everton sit 5th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Everton | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 10 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 5 |
A question about Aston Villa vs Everton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aston Villa vs Everton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aston Villa the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Everton.
- Where and when is Aston Villa vs Everton played?
- Aston Villa vs Everton is played on December 2, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Villa Park, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.