Cowdenbeath vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic: prediction and stats
Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Central Park, Cowdenbeath
The Footlab model makes Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Cowdenbeath. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cowdenbeath vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic?
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic starts as the favourite with a 201-point Elo edge (1,693 vs 1,492).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cowdenbeath have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | East Kilbride(home) | 1-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stirling University(home) | 4-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Edinburgh City(away) | 1-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Broxburn Athletic(home) | 0-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Civil Service Strollers(away) | 2-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Rangers U21(home) | 2-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Berwick Rangers(away) | 2-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Annan Athletic(home) | 1-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | East Stirlingshire(home) | 4-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Brechin(home) | 1-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Cowdenbeath win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 3-2 Cowdenbeath | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Cowdenbeath 2-1 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Football League - Lowland League |
| May 14, 2022 | Cowdenbeath 0-1 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | League Two |
| May 7, 2022 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 3-0 Cowdenbeath | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Cowdenbeath on Dec 13, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Cowdenbeath score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic score 2.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cowdenbeath | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | 2.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cowdenbeath sit 26th in Football League - Lowland League (3 points from 5 matches) and Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic sit 9th (12 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 3 | 12 |
| 26 | Cowdenbeath | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cowdenbeath vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic?
- The Footlab model makes Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Cowdenbeath.
- Where and when is Cowdenbeath vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic played?
- Cowdenbeath vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Central Park, in the Football League - Lowland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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