CR Aquidauana vs Corumbaense: prediction and stats
Sul-MatogrossenseMatchday 8Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes CR Aquidauana the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Corumbaense. The most likely score is 1-1. If CR Aquidauana wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,760 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CR Aquidauana vs Corumbaense?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate CR Aquidauana (1,463) and Corumbaense (1,459).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for CR Aquidauana vs Corumbaense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
CR Aquidauana
Not enough data to predict the CR Aquidauana lineup.
Corumbaense
4-3-3- RRomarinho
- IItalo Pica-Pau
- LLucas Cassiano de Almeida
- GGustavo Henrique Amaral
- LLaercio Jose Aguiar Cavalheiro Junior
- PPeterson
- JJaime Cardoso Pinto da Silva
- VVinícius Roberto Conceição da Costa
- EElivelton Fabrizio Vicente de Oliveira
- RRodrigo Digão
- RRenan Matheus de Oliveira Brites
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 06:27 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, CR Aquidauana have 2 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Corumbaense have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Dourados Atlético(away) | 3-3 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Pantanal(home) | 2-0 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Ivinhema(away) | 0-1 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Águia Negra(away) | 3-1 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Corumbaense(home) | 1-1 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Operario Ferroviario(away) | 1-2 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Operario Ferroviario(home) | 1-2 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Dourados Atlético(home) | 2-0 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Dourados Atlético(away) | 1-1 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Costa Rica (away) | 2-0 | Sul-Matogrossense |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 CR Aquidauana wins, 1 draw, 0 Corumbaense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | CR Aquidauana 1-1 Corumbaense | Sul-Matogrossense |
Last archived meeting: CR Aquidauana vs Corumbaense on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CR Aquidauana score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 9; Corumbaense score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CR Aquidauana | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1 | 6/9 | 4/9 |
| Corumbaense | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CR Aquidauana sit 7th in Sul-Matogrossense (10 points from 9 matches) and Corumbaense sit 3rd (13 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Corumbaense | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 13 |
| 7 | CR Aquidauana | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 10 |
A question about CR Aquidauana vs Corumbaense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CR Aquidauana vs Corumbaense?
- The Footlab AI model makes CR Aquidauana the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Corumbaense.
- Where and when is CR Aquidauana vs Corumbaense played?
- CR Aquidauana vs Corumbaense is played on February 20, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC), in the Sul-Matogrossense.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.