Crawley Town vs Aston Villa U21: result 5-2 and analysis
EFL TrophyGroup Stage - 10Kick-off on October 18, 2022 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Broadfield Stadium, Crawley, West Sussex
Full time
What was the result of Crawley Town vs Aston Villa U21?
Crawley Town won 5-2 on October 18, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 13′S. RevanAston Villa U21
- 28′J. DavisCrawley Town
- 40′A. OtehCrawley Town
- 52′A. OtehCrawley Town
- 82′Charlie LutzAston Villa U21
- 83′M. MarshallCrawley Town
- 90′D. TelfordCrawley Town (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crawley Town have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Aston Villa U21 have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2022 | Newport County(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Oct 8, 2022 | Grimsby(away) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Stevenage(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Sep 24, 2022 | Doncaster(away) | 1-4 | League Two |
| Sep 20, 2022 | AFC Wimbledon(away) | 2-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2022 | Newcastle United U21(home) | 1-2 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Oct 8, 2022 | Southampton U21(away) | 0-2 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Oct 4, 2022 | Portsmouth(away) | 0-5 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 30, 2022 | West Bromwich Albion U21(home) | 2-6 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Stoke City U21(away) | 3-3 | Premier League 2 Division One |
How many goals should we expect?
Crawley Town score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Aston Villa U21 score 1.9 and concede 2.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crawley Town | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Aston Villa U21 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 1 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Crawley Town sit 3rd in EFL Trophy (3 points from 3 matches) and Aston Villa U21 sit 4th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Crawley Town | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 4 | Aston Villa U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 18, 2022Leyton Orient2-3Chelsea U21
- Oct 18, 2022Accrington ST3-2Liverpool U21
- Oct 18, 2022Newport County2-1Southampton U21
- Oct 18, 2022Sutton Utd2-0Oxford United
- Oct 18, 2022Fleetwood Town2-2Manchester United U21
- Nov 1, 2022Crewe0-0Leeds United U21
- Nov 1, 2022Portsmouth1-1AFC Wimbledon
- Nov 2, 2022Charlton2-1Brighton U21