Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town: prediction and stats
FA Cup1/128-finalsKick-off on November 8, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Cuthbury Stadium, Wimborne Minster, Dorset
The Footlab AI model makes Wimborne Town the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Crawley Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Wimborne Town wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,444 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town?
Wimborne Town starts as the favourite with a 214-point Elo edge (1,853 vs 1,639).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Wimborne Town
4-3-3- MM. Gamble
- JJake Sinclair
- JJ. Stokoe
- CC. Young
- HH. Morgan
- RR. Mason
- DD. Strugnell
- BB. Maybury
- MM. Jamieson
- SS. Arnold
- AA. Cull
Crawley Town
4-1-4-1- 9D. Orsi
- 20J. Arthurs
- 10S. Duke-McKenna
- 30Kai Jennings
- 16J. Russell
- 22A. Adeyemo
- 6P. Farquharson
- 12L. Richards
- 2K. Gordon
- 5C. Barker
- 1V. Mannone
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 08:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wimborne Town have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat; Crawley Town have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Chippenham Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Yate Town(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Taunton Town(away) | 4-1 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Gosport Borough(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Chelmsford City(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Oldham(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Tranmere(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Shrewsbury(home) | 2-3 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Salford City(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Chesterfield(home) | 2-2 | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Wimborne Town score 2.2 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Crawley Town score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wimborne Town | 2.2 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Crawley Town | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Wimborne Town the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Crawley Town.
- Where and when is Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town played?
- Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town is played on November 8, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Cuthbury Stadium, in the FA Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.